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**Related Video Above: Downtown Cleveland snow removal in February.**

CLEVELAND (WJW) — It’s almost too painful to talk about, but sooner or later, snow is coming for Northeast Ohio.

Believe it or not, some snowflakes could be coming within the next week!

Deep moisture wrapped around a low will bring on and off showers to the area starting early Monday. The heaviest of the rain will occur during the day before becoming driven closer to the lake at night.

Thanks to the system this week knocking highs into the 50s, when this next system moves through, it’ll only get colder.

Temperatures will fall into the low to mid 30s late Monday into early Tuesday morning. With the colder air aloft, a few wet snowflakes could mix in with a few lake effect showers overnight into early Tuesday morning.

We aren’t expecting any accumulation as our ground is still too warm. A light dusting is possible on higher elevations along the lakeshore for our snowbelt regions, but it will quickly melt away.

A lot could change in this forecast so stay updated for any changes. 

The National Weather Service defines a first snowfall as one that measures one-tenth of an inch or more.

Average first measurable snowfall in Northeast Ohio

  • Cleveland – Nov. 10
  • Akron/Canton – Nov. 9
  • Youngstown- Nov. 5
  • Mansfield – Nov. 18

The earliest snow has come for Cleveland and Akron/Canton was Oct. 2 in 2003 and 1974, respectively. However, the latest snow came for Cleveland in a winter season was Jan. 1 in 1924. So take it all with a grain of salt. History shows snow could come early as October and as late as January. But how much snow should we be expecting?

Average amount of snow through winter season

  • Cleveland – 63.8 inches
  • Akron/Canton – 47.2 inches

Of course, there’s a wild fluctuation between highs and lows here as well. For instance, the most snow Cleveland ever got was about 117 inches in the 2004-2005 season, but the least was 8.8 inches in the 1918-1919 season … proving we are likely to get at least some snow this season.

The earliest snowfall over the last 10 years

The National Weather Service has kindly put together a roundup of the past winters in Northeast Ohio, in case you’re looking to relive those experiences. Let’s take a look at when the first snow event of the season came for Cleveland, as measured at Cleveland Hopkins International Airport:

  • 2021-2022 – Nov. 14
  • 2020- 2021 – Nov. 11
  • 2019-2020 – Nov. 7
  • 2018-2019 – Nov. 9
  • 2017-2018 – Nov. 11
  • 2016-2017 – Dec. 4
  • 2015-2016 – Oct. 17
  • 2014-2015 – Nov. 13
  • 2013-2014 – Nov. 8
  • 2012-2013 – Nov. 24

The first day of winter is Dec. 21. But as the above averages show, you’ll need to to be prepared for snow before then.