FORECAST DISCUSSION – Meteorologist Mackenzie Bart

Not as cold as last night but still a frigid one out at the bus stop. Temperatures will end up in the teens by early tomorrow morning. Clear, quiet and dry tonight.

Groundhog Day, tomorrow, will be a bit “warmer”. Still chilly with highs in the mid to upper 30s and a breeze. Gusts could reach 25 mph at times. Another chance to see some sunshine before the clouds move back in tomorrow night. Light snow moves in late Thursday and early Friday.

January was the 5th warmest on record!

We’ve had a high number of days above normal this winter:

Next front approaches Thursday evening/early Friday. This will usher in more cold, close to what we saw around Christmas. A brief period of lake effect, light snow Thursday evening/night and lake effect snow Friday.

Strong cold front Friday will drop temps for a 36 hour period.

Snowfall forecast from late Thursday night through Friday:

Overall temperature generally below normal this week:

A look at snowfall vs normal across the US, Ohio and a comparison between last winter and this winter:

Here’s the latest 8-Day Forecast:

Lake Erie Ice coverage this year has stayed under 25%. Only 10 years have had years with under 25% ice coverage through January 31st. Of those 10 years, only 4 years ended up with 70% or higher.

Complete Lake Erie daily ice coverage history on Scott’s Weather Blog

We look at many regions of the globe as we prepare our winter weather outlook.