Polar vortex 2021: Arctic blast to send much of U.S. into deep freeze; find out what Northeast Ohio can expect

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ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WROC) — The buzzword made famous from an arctic blast in 2015 is making a comeback.

The polar vortex, a rotating bubble of cold air around the North Pole, is about to break off and head into much of the United States for the second half of January.

The polar vortex gets its name from a counter-clockwise spin around the North Pole. The constant air mass is protected by the polar jet stream. It weakens in the summer and strengthens in the winter.

Occasionally, the air mass splits and sends cold air southward into the middle latitudes.

In recent years, the polar vortex caught on as a buzzword and became one of the most recognizable “new” terms in meteorology, even though the polar vortex itself has been known about and studied within the weather community for decades.

When the polar vortex is strong, it remains solidly in place over the poles. When it starts to weaken as warmer air “injects” into the poles, the stronghold can erode away and cooler air can be forced southward, where more people live and will be impacted by an arctic blast. While the polar vortex is always around, we only feel its cold a few times a year, if at all.

WHERE THE POLAR VORTEX IS HEADED

Note the United States at the bottom of this image. See where the purple colors are over Alaska, Russia and northern Canada. That is the polar vortex. Image as of Tuesday, January 12.

Long range models are forecasting for a chunk of the polar vortex to break off and invade the central United States across the Dakotas, eastern Great Lakes, central United States and a section of the Northeast.

So what does that mean for Ohio? The FOX 8 weather team told us back in October that the most notable cold will probably happen between Jan. 12 and Feb. 14. Over the past several days, our weather team has been warning us about a colder pattern headed our way with frequent snow chances in the next 2-3 weeks. Stay tuned.

In terms of snowfall, FOX 8 Meteorologist Andre Bernier said there could be a spread of 58 to 78 inches this winter. The average is about 66 inches.

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